Monday, September 26, 2016

Why I'm Not Watching the Debate

Been a while. So, if you’re a regular reader, sorry.  If you’re not, then you’re part of 99.9% of the population (rounded up), so don’t worry about it.

As the title says, I’m not going to watch the debate tonight. And honestly, I’m not going to watch any of the debates. To be clear, I am going to vote.  And I’m guessing that, like most people, I already know who I’m going to vote for.

So that’s one reason I’m not going to watch the debate.

Think about it: what do you think might get said at tonight’s debate that could possibly change your mind? If you’ve come this far with Trump, do you really think there’s anything he could possibly do now to put him out of your favor? Is there anything Clinton could say that makes you go “oh, wow—that’s a good point”? On the other hand, if you were for Hillary, would you suddenly find yourself nodding along to one of Trump’s points? Or hear her mess up a question, and wonder if you’re making the right choice?

Of course not. Trump could come up with a legitimate plan to cure cancer, and I really think we’d just say “fine—give us the cure, but we’re not voting you president because of it.” And Hillary could just spit on Donald in response to every answer he had, and we’d be like “that’s disgusting…but so is he.”

What, then, is the point of the debate?

Ratings. Ratings for the networks, and—more importantly—ratings for the news organizations. The lead up, the live viewings, the analysis. It’s all about entertainment.



The problem is, I have a feeling this is either going to be boring, or it’s going to be a blood sport. Nothing substantive is going to come out in these debates. Hillary will be playing against the “she can only lose” mindset from most commentators, and Trump will either “defy expectations” (by actually answering policy questions with seemingly respectable answers) or will play to the crowd, trolling and zinging Clinton into hopefully making a mistake.

How is that a discourse on the state of the country? How is that an actual debate? How are we supposed to actually get answers from these candidates?

Just as important, though, is my original feeling: that their answers don’t matter. The people interested in watching the debates are already interested in politics (or political theater), and therefore almost certainly decided. This isn’t like Bush/Kerry, where the nation truly had to think about which bland candidate they wanted to lead the country. Or even Obama/McCain, where two “reformers” had different ideas about how they wanted to change the country…but were both well-respected.

No. One is hated by the opposition for being married to her husband, for legitimate mistakes she made in terms of national security, and for the illegitimate reason of happening to be a woman. The other is hated by his opposition as being a notorious flip-flopper, a hate-mongerer, a bigot and misogynist, and a financial enigma that claims personal wealth but won’t disclose that wealth.

These are highly polarizing figures for one reason or another, and if the election had been held yesterday, I don’t think the results would change if the election was held tomorrow, after the debate.

Which all means I’m not going to be watching this debate. And I won’t be watching the next one. I know who I’m voting for, and I have a feeling you do, too. So why pretend it matters other than as entertainment? And by that, meaning you’re hoping someone says something so outrageous that you have an emotional, visceral reaction to it.

Why not just drink yourself sick, or go on a rollercoaster, or hook up with a stranger?


At least you’d be enjoying yourself for a little bit, then.

2 comments:

Rob Blackwell said...

So I get it, I really do. You know who you're going to vote for, and so do most people, so why does it matter?

My answer isn't so much an answer why YOU should watch. You don't have to watch. You've made your choice. Fair enough.

But strangely enough, debates do sway public opinion. The first Obama-Romney debate nearly cost Obama reelection because Obama performed so poorly (I'm guessing he was sick. He just seemed out of it. He was far better in the next two debates.) For many people on the fence about Romney, that first debate was a turning point. They saw Romney as presidential.

The question is: is it a turning point here? Maybe. The election is shaping up to be very tight. If you are a voter in a swing state, these debates could be the thing that a) make you make up your mind who to vote for or b) convince you it's worth your time to actually go vote (most people don't, remember.) If Trump appears knowledgeable about policy -- and he hasn't to this point -- it could make those who are reluctantly siding with him more enthusiastic about doing so. Enthusiasm equals higher voter turnout. Alternatively, if Clinton looks presidential while Trump appears out of his depth, it could help drive turnout for her side.

My point is this: the race is tight and this election could be decided on the margin. Therefore any major event like this can make a huge difference.

And that's why I'll be watching. Yes, it will be couched as entertainment, but it matters far more than we might think.

archmandrate said...

Yeah--normally I'd be with you. As I mentioned, there were debates where I think it was actually important to watch. I just find it hard to believe for this particular debate, independents are actually going to be swayed. Maybe they will--maybe there are truly undecideds out there who somehow haven't figured out who they're voting for, but even then, I'd say "read anything else!"

Honestly, the main outcome I can see from this debate is Trump somehow convincing Republicans to actually vote for him despite everything that says we shouldn't. But I feel like that's going to be by him ripping into Clinton (and not on policy, but just personal attacks). So, yes, if you're a Republican or Independent, maybe you should watch it. As a Democrat, though, is there really anything that happens in this debate short of her killing a puppy that would change our minds?